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Tina Wallmann is the CarbonPoker Queen of Hearts! Tina works full time at CarbonPoker, as a dedicated player host. Tina makes sure that players are always happy and having fun and also answers questions on CarbonPoker forum and posts to the CarbonPoker blog.

She also travels to live poker events with the Carbon Poker team to meet players and ensure they have a good time.

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Probabilities

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Being dealt statistics

Preflop:

Probability of being dealt a pocket pair

5.9%

Probability of being dealt suited cards

23.5%

Probability of being dealt AA

0.45%

Probability of being dealt connecting cards

15.7%

 

Flop:

Probability of hitting a three of a kind or quads at the flop when you hold a pocket pair

11.8%

Probability you will make a pair at the flop, holding two unpaired cards in the hole

32.4%

Probability of flopping a flush, holding two suited cards

0.84%

Probability of flopping a flush draw, holding two suited cards

11%

 

Turn - river:

Probability of hitting a flush draw (both turn/river, needing one card to hit)

35%

Probability of hitting an open-ended straight draw (i.e. 4 straight cards, need one on either end to hit on turn or river)

31.5%

Probability of hitting a gutshot draw (inside straight draw) on turn or river

16.5%

Probability of hitting a backdoor flush, holding two suited cards

4.2%

Probability of hitting a flush on the river

19.6%

Probability of hitting a straight on the turn

17%

Probability of hitting a straight on the river

17.4%

 

Winning probability between two hands:

Probability of a lower pocket pair beating a higher pocket pair

18.5%

Probability of non-suited overcards beating a lower pocket pair

45%

Probability of suited overcards beating a lower pocket pair

47.3%

Probability of a dominated hand winning (e.g. AJ vs. AK)

24%

Probability of a severely dominated hand winning that is suited (e.g. AA vs. ATs)

12.7%

Probability of an unsuited severely dominated hand winning (e.g. AA vs. ATo)

7.2%

Probability of two unsuited undercards beating two unsuited overcards (e.g. JT vs. AK)

36.7%

Probability of two suited undercards beating two unsuited overcards (e.g. JTs vs. AK)

41%

Probability of two, unsuited, non-connecting undercards beating two suited, connecting overcards (e.g. T4o vs. AKs)

32.4%

 

How often does a certain hole cards wins:

The percentage that this hand wins

Pocket cards

75%

AA

63.5%

KK

56.1%

QQ

50%

JJ

51.1%

AK suited

48.1%

AK off suit

46.5%

AQ suited

43.5%

10 10

41.7%

AJ suited

42.4%

AQ off suit

 

Most common winning hands:

The percentage that this hand wins the pot

Poker hand

31%

Two pairs

27%

Pair

12%

Three of a kind

9%

Strait

9%

Flush

9%

Full house

2%

High card

1%

Four of a kind

1% <

Strait flush

1% <

Royal flush

 

Profit expectation from pocket cards:

Profit expectation for limit $5 - $10 T.H.

Pocket cards

$34.19

AA

$24.13

KK

$17.36

QQ

$12.08

JJ

$11.63

AK suited

$8.65

AK off suit

$8.32

AQ suited

$7.72

10 10

$5.69

AJ suited

$5.47

AQ off suit

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